Sunday, March 10, 2019

MLS Form Guide ULTRA, Week 2: The Haves, the Have-Nots, and the Massive Blob in the Middle


Fucking poseurs.
Welcome to the MLS Week 2 index, which, let me tell you, is already a goddamn mess. I’ll try to stitch that into a coherent narrative over on Orange & Blue Press, but the top-level take-aways for every team in MLS appears below. While there are three perfect teams so far, only two of them feel believable right now – that’s Los Angeles FC and Seattle Sounders – but Minnesota United FC could take a step toward legit next weekend with a win against the Los Angeles Galaxy…near LA. In the broader scheme, points aren’t everything yet – by which I mean that I wouldn’t call Real Salt Lake and the Houston Dynamo better than Sporting Kansas City (hence the order below), or even Toronto FC until further notice/results – and some deficits seem more endemic (e.g., the San Jose Earthquakes) than others (e.g., the Philadelphia Union). Also, I see a brighter future for some teams on 0 points (e.g., Vancouver Whitecaps) than I do for some teams on 1 point (e.g., New England Revolution.

Overall, though, MLS Week 2 didn’t re-write the whole damn script or anything. Some teams did goose their status (LAFC and Columbus Crew SC, for me), and the San Jose Earthquakes already look doomed, but there’s more wiggle going on in the MLS standings than you’ll ever see at a Wiggles concert. Not that I’ve ever been to one. Anyway, the good stuff, the data, is below.

Oh, whoops. It occurred to me this morning that I totally failed to explain the extra row at the bottom of all those tables down below, so, with an eye to making amends: at the midway point to the regular season, most teams’ patterns become entrenched enough for me to declare each team “IN” (the playoffs), “OUT” (of the playoffs), or “MARGINAL” (because I don’t know what the Hell to make of them). Over the past several seasons, the real “ins” and shameful “outs” set pretty hard in the standings by the halfway mark and without shifting around a ton, but isn’t that just the freak-case that proves the rule? To give just one recent example, the Sounders picked up just 16 points from 17 games through the middle of last season, only to storm into the post-season like one of those bullshit fast zombies that, when you get right down to it, break the genre…but I digress.

Here’s are the results/infoboxes (what I call the gridded stuff) after MLS Week 2.

MINNESOTA UNITED FC, 2-0-0, 6 points, 6 gf, 2 ga, (0-0-0 home, 2-0-0 away)
Last Ten: N/A
W
W
@ VAN
@ SJ
3-2
3-0
N/A
N/A
Current Judgment: If these games weren’t on the road…one helluva start regardless. Worth keeping tabs on till further notice. And, yes, I put them up here because I could.
Next Game: @ Los Angeles Galaxy…and if they win that one, which wouldn’t surprise me…


LOS ANGELES FC, 2-0-0, 6 points, 6 gf, 2 ga, (2-0-0 home, 0-0-0 away)
Last Ten: N/A
W
W
v SKC
v POR
2-1
4-1
N/A
N/A
Current Judgment: They announced their intentions. Count me a convert. There will be a link to extended commentary in the Portland section below (WAY below because that’s where they are.)
Next Game: @ NYCFC, which feels like a game to watch, but mostly for LAFC.

SEATTLE SOUNDERS, 2-0-0, 6 points, 6 gf, 1 ga, (2-0-0 home, 0-0-0 away)
Last Ten: N/A
W
W
v CIN
V COL
4-1
2-0
N/A
N/A
Current Judgment: Preliminary confirmation that they started 2019 sharp, but against shit/unprepared teams.
Next Game: @ Chicago Fire…aka, still more padding. Good time to load up the points.

REAL SALT LAKE, 1-0-1, 4 points, 2 gf, 1 ga, (1-0-0 home, 0-0-1 away)
Last Ten: N/A
L
W
@ HOU
v VAN
1-1
1-0
N/A
N/A
Current Judgment: They got the good, validating win.
Next Game: @ DC United. A(n unlikely) win in DC would signal something.

COLUMBUS CREW SC, 1-0-1, 4 points, 3 gf, 1 ga, (0-0-1 home, 1-0-0 away)
Last Ten: N/A
D
W
v NYR
@ NE
1-1
2-0
N/A
N/A
Current Judgment: See above. A WIN against in Columbus would announce some intention.
Next Game: v FC Dallas

FC DALLAS, 1-0-1, 4 points, 3 gf, 1 ga, (1-0-1 home, 0-0-0 away)
Last Ten: N/A
D
W
v NE
v LAG
1-1
2-0
N/A
N/A
Current Judgment: Good step, but there’s a bigger one ahead. See below.
Next Game: @ Columbus

HOUSTON DYNAMO, 1-0-1, 4 points, 3 gf, 2 ga, (1-0-1 home, 0-0-0 away)
Last Ten: N/A
D
W
v RSL
v MTL
1-1
2-1
N/A
N/A
Current Judgment: A good three points. These “nothing” wins in March pad the account down the stretch.
Next Game: v. Vancouver. This is a great example of the early expectations game; if a team beats Vancouver at home, what’s that say, really?

DC UNITED, 1-0-1, 4 points, 2 gf, 0 ga, (1-0-0 home, 0-0-1 away)
Last Ten: N/A
W
D
v ATL
@ NYC
2-0
0-0
N/A
N/A
Current Judgment: Strong result, but it’s probably worth checking into Atlanta’s line-up.
Next Game: @ New York City FC (where anything but a tie will be notable).

SPORTING KC, 1-1-0, 3 points, 3 gf, 2 ga, (1-0-0 home, 0-1-0 away)
Last Ten: N/A
L
W
@ LAF
v PHI
1-2
2-0
N/A
N/A
Current Judgment: The kind of win they must-win to stay sexy. They stayed sexy.
Next Game: @ Colorado, which would take a seriously weird result (e.g., whistle-to-whistle domination) to look meaningful.

TORONTO FC, 1-0-0, 3 points, 3 gf, 1 ga, (0-0-0 home, 1-0-0 away)
Last Ten: N/A
W
@ PHI
3-1
N/A
Current Judgment: Idle, but good start. Apart from the whole “getting out-scored by 5 goals to 1 against Panamanian team” thing.
Next Game: v. New England Revolution, which looks like a gift they should not squander.

LOS ANGELES GALAXY, 1-1-0, 3 points, 2 gf, 3 ga, (1-0-0 home, 0-1-0 away)
Last Ten: N/A
W
L
v CHI
@ FCD
2-1
0-2
N/A
N/A
Current Judgment: Not a shocking loss, not much to expand on. Watch this space.
Next Game: v Minnesota…and watch this game. A loss or draw here should raise eyebrows.

MONTREAL IMPACT, 1-1-0, 3 points, 3 gf, 3 ga, (0-0-0 home, 1-1-0 away)
Last Ten: N/A
W
L
@ SJ
@ HOU
2-1
1-2
N/A
N/A
Current Judgment: Results probably say more about San Jose than anyone else involved – including Montreal.
Next Game: @ Orlando. Well, shit. I can’t think of any outcome from that would give a worthwhile signal.

NEW YORK CITY FC, 0-0-2, 2 points, 2 gf, 2 ga, (0-0-1 home, 0-0-1 away)
Last Ten: N/A
D
D
@ ORL
v DC
2-2
0-0
N/A
N/A
Current Judgment: Noted…still…so keep your eye on their stock for now.
Next Game: v. Los Angeles FC – especially with this on their plate.

NEW YORK RED BULLS, 0-0-1, 1 point, 1 gf, 1 ga, (0-0-0 home, 0-0-1 away)
Last Ten: N/A
D
@ CLB
1-1
N/A
Current Judgment: Steady as she goes.
Next Game: v. San Jose, again, a must-win on the level of simple dignity.

ORLANDO CITY FC, 0-0-2, 2 points, 3 gf, 3 ga, (0-0-1 home, 0-0-1 away)
Last Ten: N/A
D
D
v NYC
@ CHI
2-2
1-1
N/A
N/A
Current Judgment: Second good result. On balance. Again.
Next Game: v Montreal

COLORADO RAPIDS, 0-1-1, 1 point, 3 gf, 5 ga, (0-0-1 home, 0-1-0 away)
Last Ten: N/A
D
L
v POR
@ SEA
3-3
0-2
N/A
N/A
Current Judgment: As noted in the extended comments (see above), both their ringers rang. That’s good.
Next Game: v Sporting KC. The scheduling gods were as cruel to Colorado, as they were kind to Seattle.

PORTLAND TIMBERS, 0-1-1, 1 point, 4 gf, 7 ga, (0-0-0 home, 0-1-1 away)
Last Ten: N/A
D
L
@ COL
@ LAF
3-3
1-4
N/A
N/A
Current Judgment: Well, no, obviously that wasn’t good. But they had moments, which I’ll describe more fully in this space…soon. And when I do, it’ll go right here.
Next Game: @ FC Cincinnati, which suddenly looks more complicated…

NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION, 0-1-1, 1 point, 1 gf, 3 ga, (0-1-0 home, 0-0-1 away)
Last Ten: N/A
D
L
@ FCD
v CLB
1-1
0-2
N/A
N/A
Current Judgment: Depends somewhat on how Columbus keeps trending, but, no, not a good start.
Next Game: @ Toronto

ATLANTA UNITED FC, 0-1-1, 1 point, 1 gf, 3 ga, (0-0-1 home, 0-1-0 away)
Last Ten: N/A
L
W
@ DC
v CIN
0-2
1-1
N/A
N/A
Current Judgment: Not good result, but also not a big deal.
Next Game: v. Philadelphia, also, a shot at (uncertain) progress (against an unknown team).

CHICAGO FIRE, 0-1-1, 1 point, 2 gf, 3 ga, (0-0-1 home, 0-1-0 away)
Last Ten: N/A
L
D
@ LA
v ORL
0-2
1-1
N/A
N/A
Current Judgment: Well, there goes one chance for a statement…
Next Game: v. Seattle…which does not feel like cause for optimism.

FC CINCINNATI, 0-1-1, 1 point, 2 gf, 5 ga, (0-0-0 home, 0-1-1 away)
Last Ten: N/A
L
D
@ SEA
@ ATL
1-4
1-1
N/A
N/A
Current Judgment: Better for being wildly unexpected, but good point, full stop. My extended notes on the game give cause for dialing down the excitement.
Next Game: v. Portland…which will be captivating for both teams.

PHILADELPHIA UNION, 0-2-0, 0 points, 1 gf, 5 ga, (0-1-0 home, 0-1-0 away)
Last Ten: N/A
L
W
v TFC
@ SKC
1-3
0-2
N/A
N/A
Current Judgment: Given the totality of everything so far, no surprise, but also not yet terrible.
Next Game: @ Atlanta. Call it one Hell of a chance for one team or the other to get unstuck.

VANCOUVER WHITECAPS, 0-2-0, 0 points, 2 gf, 4 ga, (0-1-0 home, 0-1-0 away)
Last Ten: N/A
L
L
v MIN
@ RSL
2-3
0-1
N/A
N/A
Current Judgment: The other “L” came and, no, it didn’t surprise me.

Next Game: @ Houston, and hardly cause for optimism. A contrary signal would help.



SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES, 0-2-0, 0 points, 1 gf, 4 ga, (0-2-0 home, 0-0-0 away)

Last Ten: N/A

L
L
v MTL
v MIN
1-2
0-2
N/A
N/A

Current Judgment: Wasted no time in settling to the bottom. Two losses at home. Jesus Christ.

Next Game: @ Red Bulls, which just seems cruel at this point…


All right, that’s all the data, plus some light commentary. I’ll get the other stuff posted tomorrow night (gods willing), but it does feel doable. Till then…

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