Saturday, March 24, 2018

FC Dallas 1-1 Portland Timbers: Dancin’ with the One That Brung You


Delighted to have found this searching for "crippling brain-fart."
Had Sebastian Blanco failed to score his impressive goal (which I missed in real-time; Taco Bell run…for some damn reason), Portland Timbers fans would have little to hold onto on the attacking side of the game besides Alvas Powell making a series of bad decisions, before making his one clear good one - e.g., his late shot on goal. And even that decision only looked “good” due to Powell having better control of the ball and his body than he did on any of his other misfiring forays up field. He made a similar, clumsier run earlier and took a shot from the tough angle and he lost good runs by Fanendo Adi in both cases…thus we draw yet another line that divides good decisions from a bad ones.

I’d file Diego Valeri hitting a shot in frustration from over 30 yards out in the same binder: whatever it suffers on the decision side, it gains from winding up as a decent shot. Still, he scores that one time in 30 attempts, and that begs the question.

Blanco buried his goal, of course, and that lead to the fairer result because, all things considered, the 1-1 draw it ended in feels better for this game than a Dallas win would have. There, it’s worth considering whether another referee would have called a penalty kick on Cristhian Paredes’ late hand-ball in the Timbers area. (Was it a handball? I don’t recall at the moment who noted the ever-increasing complexity of what does and doesn’t constitute a handball in MLS at this point, but I am, and will always remain, a fan of the “porn” definition of a handball - e.g., I know it when I see it. To answer the question, yes, I would have called that one on the grounds that who knew where the cross would have traveled had Paredes’ arm not knocked it down. Call it the “trajectory theory” of handball.)

Regardless, I raise that point to raise the issue of thin margins. Because neither team could put away this game, never mind squeeze the proverbial last hand on the bat for dominance, this game hung forever in the absence a moment of brilliance and/or a crippling brain-fart (hmm….maybe that’s the inspiration for the image?). Both teams had singular moments of brilliance - e.g., Dallas’ Jacori Hayes sending Portland’s defense and midfield into retreat by running at them before dishing to Roland Lamah for the cool finish; Portland, meanwhile, answered with Blanco’s goal. Besides that, the game was just so much running around.

Truth be told, I’m pretty happy about that. Portland looked quite a bit better moving the ball forward in this outing than they have all season. Some as yet unmeasured part of me wonders about the extent Dallas allowed that; as noted in the preview I slipped into this post, I figured Dallas would leave space in the channels near the top of the attacking third for Valeri and Blanco to operate in, and they did (and, to empathize a little, I’d be shitting myself if I were a Dallas fan). I haven’t looked at the boxscore - and probably won’t till I wrap up the rest of this weekend’s (blessedly sparse) games, but I doubt Portland generated a ton of shots. Then again, Dallas didn’t either and, in the context of the 2018 season so far, that spells less relief than release - i.e., on par with coming out on the other side of a crippling bout of “stomach flu.”

Even after something reasonably close to a lock-down early afternoon, I’m highly dubious on declaring “problem solved” with Portland’s defense - and for the couple-to-several reasons that I’ll ride on the way to closing out this post. First, and most contextualized, I don’t think the Dallas attack is all there yet. Even in the 3-0 win they dropped on the Seattle Sounders last weekend, the Dallas attack presented as languid, something that worked best when Seattle gifted it mistakes too big to overlook (for what it’s worth, I’d call this Dallas’ heaviest lift of that afternoon; the Seattle back line’s failure to hold a line was the gift in that moment). Most of that chaos followed from isolating Michael Barrios against the opposition fullback (or the space behind him), but Dallas didn’t have nearly as much luck with this against Portland. And, all the times they did, Portland’s left held up well enough to make you think the team game-planned for that go-to maneuver. That Lamah scored had a lot more to do with the quality of his finish (e.g., real, real good) versus Dallas creating a great opening.

The other question comes with how much Portland had to give up in order to achieve that defensive solidity. Or, better has to give up - which is what inspired the title. That matters, because I don’t see this issue going away in the near-term. On some days it seems like the Timbers line up in as many formations as there are outlets that declare the formation in which they’re playing (does that make sense? if not, I mean, if I check three sources for the formation Portland will play on any given day, I’ll get three different answers often as not). At any rate (sorry), someone called it a “Christmas tree” formation (e.g., 4-3-2-1) and that best matches what I saw on the field, and my understanding of the personnel…if with one caveat…which I’ll get to.

Broadly, those numbers translate to Blanco and Valeri playing behind Adi in the attack, and with three defensive-esque midfielders behind them doing different things. In real-time, I think this translated as Lawrence Olum (more later) playing deep to protect the defense, Paredes cheating a little higher to support the attack, while leaving Diego Chara free to do his usual - e.g., solve myriad problems while running a marathon (welcome back, son; dad missed you!). As much as that feels good on the defensive side, it shifts still more of the weight for not just scoring goals, but simply generating a useful attack on Blanco, Valeri and Adi. The extent of that shift (and here’s where I pick up that caveat), comes with what happens with Paredes as the season progresses, as Chara returns to perfect form (he seemed in good enough form today), and when David Guzman comes back into the team.



By all that I mean, if you’re panicked about Portland’s midfield mix in the post Darlington Nagbe era, 1) join the club (to which I didn’t know I belonged till I did), and 2) understand it as a work in progress. The one thing I know so far is that I never want to see Olum paired with Guzman one more fucking time, I swear to God on my mother. If I had to name the clearest improvement between today and the two games prior, Chara has the legs/speed combo to cover ground that Guzman simply doesn’t and, whatever I think of Dallas, I do believe that played a huge role in today’s improved performance. Chara is this team’s MVP in that regard because he makes every player on the team better, except maybe the forwards and the ‘keeper. If Chara’s the one, true given (lo, for He is), there’s a lot of thinking left to do on the rest of the midfield - e.g., who fits best around Chara and doing what?



The one thing I’d argue, though, is that whatever the team does has to goose the offense as much as possible - and till further notice or new acquisition, given the player pool. As much as people shit on Olum, he actually makes sense in that deep role. He’s not a great passer, he doesn’t always make the best decisions (something he opted to highlight today), but he gets in the way well enough and can make a safety pass well enough. More than anything else, if he’s nearer the back for the sake of numbers, and with Chara marauding all over the middle, that frees Portland’s best available player, who isn’t Blanco or Valeri, to get involved in and, ideally, help direct the attack (or...gasp, maybe even be part of it?). And with the other two players limiting his running…and when is Guzman getting back again? In all seriousness, I don’t know who is better suited to the role between Paredes and Guzman. On the other hand, I do know that I’ve found Guzman disappointing since the middle of last season, and that’s indicative of openness, if not more.



To take this one step further (at which point I’ll stop…after just one more pit-stop), assuming Portland can’t generate more attacking support out of the midfield “3” of that 4-3-2-1, or even a 4-3-3 with the same dudes (or, when it goes into the attack, a 4-2-2-2, or, god forbid, a 4-1-2-3, etc.), the fullbacks will have to step up to offer some kind of attacking quality, or, failing that, just some freakin’ width. I think that’s what the team tried with Alvas Powell today and, golly, if he hasn’t finally turned me off. I know he has his critics on the defensive side, but if his speed makes up for his slips 85% of the time, I'm good. He’s damn near useless, on the other hand, in the attack, where he forces one long-shot decision after another, and too often poorly. I don’t think Zarek Valentin had license to roam today (and maybe that’s how the team bottled up Barrios), so maybe he can pitch in if Portland can’t get the midfield sorted…I don’t know. Just…outside a defensive posture that could very well neuter the team, faith in our fullbacks is very glass half-empty just now.



I think that’s it….wait! One last thing!



I liked Bill Tuiloma out there today, he looked energetic when I saw him, but I mostly didn’t see him and, per the clichĂ©, that’s good. At the same time, the Tuiloma/Larrys Mabiala central pairing had either a steadier midfield in front of it or a lazier/more opportunist attack to manage. To answer the obvious question, though, yes, I would give Tuiloma the next start as well. In fairness, I’ve never cared for Liam Ridgewell, which means I’m always sniffing after solutions, but I’m a fan of making people earn their spots.


OK, longer than I expected, and that feels like plenty. Uh, I’ve penciled in Monday night for the full MLS Week 4 Recap. And I’m going with calendar weeks this season. Tracking MLS “Weeks” makes as much sense as taking the league salary structure seriously.

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