Sunday, May 6, 2018

San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Portland Timbers: Paredes...Polo...Paredes...Polo...

Searching...as am I.
First things first, what adjective would you, personally, apply to that win: impressive, inspiring, expected, or solid?

Also, I have my poll…

Over the opening 30 minutes, just about everything around and about the Portland Timbers felt good, loose, and something heartwarmingly-close to cruise control. Whenever that changed over the next 60 minutes, Portland ‘keeper, Jeff Attinella, held up to the task; his 36th minute save might have knocked the socks off, but I got the bigger boost later in the game, when he lunged forward to clear a ball about 30 yards from Portland’s goal - i.e., well inside no-man’s land. Attinella played that moment with confidence, like he knew where the people around him would either be, or go, when he stepped forward. The general trends look strong and real, but that detail - a growing sense of who does what, when and where on the field - goes farthest in terms of making me think Portland could have places to go this season. (Mostly*.) With five road games behind them (e.g., Portland  has home games in the bank), and a 1-0 win picked up last night against the San Jose Earthquakes at Avaya Stadium - I feel like I’m going to go home happy more often than not in 2018.

Whether glorious or not, Attinella’s saves amounted to rounding up to some dangerous strays because the Timbers won this game on their merits. Alternately, it could be argued that San Jose lost this game on their faults; Anibal Godoy’s knack for the hard, pointless foul took the honors, but, contrary to Ross Smith’s mid-second-half commentary, Portland transitioned at will against San Jose, and for most of the game. San Jose responded in kind more often than I’d like - especially from minutes 55-75 - but they never could break through. And, when they did…Attinella.

So, again, impressive, inspiring, expected, or solid?

The team kept good shape for most of the game, and didn’t give the ‘Quakes much, but the Timbers hardly racked up chances. I know Fanendo Adi had a few (left foot, kid) - the kind that inspire the “oh, shit, that was close” stomach drop a little more than the rest - and the game played openly, as a whole, but I didn’t get the shooting gallery I saw as a real possibility. In fact, this game looked ever more likely to end goal-less as the game clock clicked higher. Beneath the lack of drama, though, a specific tension that would finally turn the game developed. As he got overwhelmed, little by little, Godoy resorted to more and dumber fouls, starting with his clumsy tug on Diego Chara in the middle (or thereabouts) of the second half. When Godoy finally fouled Diego Valeri in a dangerous place, but…c’mom, how many times does that free kick go missing? Or, more bluntly, it didn’t really occur to me to cross my fingers or anything else when Valeri stepped up; that’s the difference between hoping for something to happen and thinking it will, never mind expecting it. And, can I say it? Valeri hit that with textbook perfection. No, not like the shitty textbooks Texas dumps on the country like Chinese steel, but one of the good ones. I’ve seen prettier, big-bending free kicks than the shot Valeri dipped over San Jose’s wall, but not many that followed directions that neatly. San Jose’s ‘keeper, Andrew Tarbell (who is good), set his wall, took his position in the gap left behind, and Diego “Bless’d King” Valeri, chipped the ball over the wall, beyond Tarbell’s reach and - HELLO, beautiful! - first road win of the season!

Not to kick San Jose while they’re down, but this game really did feel like a good chance for 1-3 points the second I saw it pull up 3 days ago. San Jose has dropped points at home already and leak goals (this is just the second time this season they’ve limited a team to just one goal), so even a win always looked plausible. I’m also not surprised to see them hit enough shots towards Portland’s goal to win this open, yet oddly stymied game. San Jose has some neat players, and all over the field - Florian Jungwirth (who I’d take over Ridgewell at the same salary tomorrow), Vako, Danny Hoesens (wonder what he could be on the right team), and Jackson Yueill and Chris Wehan look like two decently promising young players - but the overall learning curve for ‘Quakes head coach, Mikael Stahre, lags a couple steps behind where Giovanni Savarese has the Portland Timbers right now.

It’s in a good place - i.e., I think the last three games credibly track the team’s progress - but, again, it’s not perfect, and this was against the San Jose team described immediately above (and, honestly, I could be overselling their sorry state), who could have scored today and that would have darkened the lens to a deeper shade of grey. But Portland is unquestionably defending better than they did at the start of the season. If you want to get inspired, check out Valeri’s late defensive tracking (where do you find this? beats me, just re-watch the whole game and start looking for it after the 80th), but this is mostly down to better shape from all concerned. On that, while I singled out Chara in a tweet last night (nice overhead kick, kid!), but I want to give one goddamn big nod to Larrys Mabiala, because he was visible in all the ways you want to see a central defender. And I think Mabiala makes the best possible segue into the next, final segment…

* There, I grabbed that asterisk way up in the first, full paragraph. Look, Portland set and held the pace for most of  last night, with something plausibly close to their first team, and I think that, paired with *MOST* people having a better sense of what they’re doing out there, has hoisted the Timbers into plausible, (too) early playoff contention. For all that, one question remains wide open, at least where I live:

How good are Cristhian Paredes and Andy Polo, and what the fuck are they doing out there? Because I think that matters.

I paid more attention to both players as the game moved on, trying to figure out who went where, if generally, and whatever kind of unmistakable upside either player promised. Broadly, I saw Polo more on the defensive side and Paredes more on the attacking side; on balance, I recall Polo picking off passes and running down lose touches (a little Chara-esque) and Paredes winding up a couple shots of varying good judgment - e.g., nothing egregiously ill-advised, but also nothing like the path to Timbers trophies and future riches for Paredes. Whether or not I have that right, both players definitely play behind the front three of Adi, Valeri, and Sebastian Blanco, aka, it’s Christmas every game in these parts (as in, the Timbers play the Christmas tree). Polo and Paredes first mission is shape, but they’ll both fill-in behind the front three to provide options for keeping the attack going

So, how’s that working? I drew out real, if multi-layered clues, in all the above - e.g., generally defended well, with an assist from heroics, created some changes, but not a ton - aka, well, but also barely-San-Jose-Earthquake-beating. While other factors come into that (see: Portland’s history on the road in every year except 2015, maybe 2013), this touches on the sharper question of how far Portland can ride this set-up. I think it’s still being answered, and don’t think I’d get much argument about that. Both players look, if not better, than more certain with each game, and I think fans see that play out in the more solid defense. As such, I think the question becomes how much Polo and Paredes, together or separately, can provide on the attacking side. The higher they can raise their level on that, the farther the Timbers can go, at least on this line-up.

Not to put too fine a point on it, these are our “Replacement Nagbes.” On the surface, that could read like needing two players (Polo/Paredes) to replace one (Nagbe), but, as much as I love and miss “Darling,” I’d argue he didn’t give Portland enough on the defensive side to for that 2:1 ratio to hold up. I’m thinking closer to 1.5:1. The conversation doesn’t even kind of need to end with those two, and not just because it leaves open major questions like what happens when David Guzman comes back. There are sub-questions to consider as well, starting with whether, say, Andres Flores can push either Polo or Paredes to excellence or out of a job (and why not Eryk Williamson, just for funsies?).

Well, that’s all ahead for the Portland Timbers and all their fans. What both have for now is a solid game and…a solid win. Maybe an expected one, but definitely a solid one…

…now, the win over New York City FC, that was impressive.

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