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L to R: Muyl, Mukhtar, Surridge? |
Don’t worry. I’ll keep it brief. A good spy knows to talk about only what he observed directly. Oh, in the list of prior results below, W = Win, L = Loss, D = draw. I’m guessing you know that, but some guy last year made a joke about it and I never recovered.
Nashville SC
0-1-1, 1 pt., 0 gf, 2 ga (-2); home 0-0-1, away 0-1-0
Last Results: DL
Strength/Location of Schedule
v NE (0-0 D); @ RBNY (0-2 L)
About what you’d expect, though the home draw versus the New England Revolution had to sting a bit. I watched more of that one than I watched of last weekend’s road loss at Red Bull New York (~35 minutes) – and I watched more of that one than I should have (~30).
Big picture, Nashville’s a mediocre team with new head coach, B. J. Callaghan. Their broad profile remains the same: play hard to beat, let Hany Mukhtar cook. That worked better a couple seasons ago, when Hany had younger, plumper legs and a stronger supporting cast. In 2024, it led to a fucking terrible start to the season (click here, scroll way down), the second-fewest goals scored in all of MLS (click here, scroll down, then up) and missing the playoffs – and the early signs for 2025 don’t point to immediate improvement. You don’t see a lot of attacking talent (flair is dead) when you look at Nashville’s starting XI last week and the week before. After Mukhtar, Andy Najar gives you something up the right, but also from the back. and it’s been a while for Daniel Lovitz (good defender, tho); Alex Muyl provides strong running and competent combination, but that wraps up introductions for the crew tasked with feeding English (right?) forward, Sam Surridge. They haven’t got much to him lately – a (likely bogus) offside call pulled back his only “goal” of 2025 (against the Revs; pretty good) – which forces Surridge to move all over the receive the ball. While posted respectable numbers last season, he’s not a great field player and that just puts things back on Mukhtar and his Mediocre Men to find Surridge in good spots, but he’s not there – see moving all over – and the whole thing looks pretty circular and, no doubt, frustrating for all concerned.
That said, defense has been Nashville’s strong suit for as long as they’ve been a team and the central brick of Joe Willis, Walker Zimmerman, Jack Maher and Wyatt Meyer, aka, the fun one (hold this thought*; no, not long), keep a tidy fort. Their size makes them hard to beat on corners and other assist-based set pieces and I suspect they’ll hold up well to the kind of pressure Portland can throw at them – which is mostly down to the belief that the Timbers can’t bully in a goal the way the Red Bulls can (a good tactic, for the capable).
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Tagseth, taken late afternoon Friday, pre-shave. |
If I could be Phil during the pre-match peps-‘n’-preps (i.e., “pep talks” and “preparatory meetings”), my main message to the defense would be to skirmish with Nashville as they move up the field, but to largely let them do it. The scenario(s) to avoid is (are) any that get Portland’s back three, four, five scrambling back to goal – e.g. because if Meyer finds Mukhtar deep on the right, the Timbers CBs need to figure out where Surridge got off to. Despite the fluffing above, the Timbers probably have the talent to get at least one past Nashville’s D – and, there, Phil should try the same kind of shit he’d do in [generic game], i.e., I didn’t see any obvious cheat codes (which isn’t the same as saying there aren’t any). Here, in particular, I’m looking to see what David Da Costa, et al, can go against one of MLS’s more reliable defenses.
Bottom Line
Portland should get a point out of this one and they have a decent shot at three so long as they can score one. If I’m worried about anything, it’s the Timbers making a mistake that requires them to score more than one.
That’s it for the scouting report. Let’s close this out with some…
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Please, god, don't let it come to this. |
1) Fluffing the Cushion
The Timbers have three clear layers of cushion between themselves and the abyss in this early season: Houston Dynamo FC, the Los Angeles Galaxy, and Sporting Kansas City, who neglected to rebuild (so far; Houston), ibid. (LA, so far, if with a large side of injuries), and who made their house from straw (aka, the middle build; SKC). I expect the Galaxy to improve, if ultimately, but the other two have issues, both new and old.
2) Funny
Seattle started badly. That’s all. And I don’t expect it will continue.
3) Lots of Mystery Meat
While I expect Seattle will claw their way well above 12th place, I have no goddamn idea what to expect from the 4th in the West to 11th. As for what I believe: the two teams that played to a 3-3 draw last weekend – FC Dallas and the Colorado Rapids – strike me as the most likely to run away from the Timbers so far.
4) I Still Don’t Care About San Diego
That’s it. Maybe I’ll grow an interest.
5) The Three Perfect Amigos
MLS Wrap-Up put on a shameful, number go up segment on all the unbeaten teams in MLS – which, here, include the San Jose Earthquakes, the Vancouver Whitecaps, and Los Angeles FC. With the exception of Dax McCarty (who protested too little for me), every gigolo on that broadcast acted like San Jose and Vancouver would stay up there forever. In their defense, Vancouver started pretty strong – slaughtering the Timbers on the road and winning against an admittedly limping Galaxy team at BC Place – but the ‘Quakes will get bumped out of first class at some point…
…unfortunately, that isn’t the real question here. The question is whether San Jose is good enough to stand between the Timbers and a playoff spot, however low in the standings. I'm not desperate enough to think the Timbers will need every spot they can get, but still. The same applies to Vancouver, of course – they finished just one place above Portland in 2024, and even on points – but, for whatever reason, I keep swallowing the hype on those guys, so I’ll worry about the Timbers leap-frogging them when I get a better view of their butts.
LAFC will continue to suck the life out of every game/succeed.
Let the free-for-all begin, fuck Ted Nugent, and may the Timbers get three points this weekend. Till the next one…
MLS Wrap-Up put on a shameful, number go up segment on all the unbeaten teams in MLS – which, here, include the San Jose Earthquakes, the Vancouver Whitecaps, and Los Angeles FC. With the exception of Dax McCarty (who protested too little for me), every gigolo on that broadcast acted like San Jose and Vancouver would stay up there forever. In their defense, Vancouver started pretty strong – slaughtering the Timbers on the road and winning against an admittedly limping Galaxy team at BC Place – but the ‘Quakes will get bumped out of first class at some point…
…unfortunately, that isn’t the real question here. The question is whether San Jose is good enough to stand between the Timbers and a playoff spot, however low in the standings. I'm not desperate enough to think the Timbers will need every spot they can get, but still. The same applies to Vancouver, of course – they finished just one place above Portland in 2024, and even on points – but, for whatever reason, I keep swallowing the hype on those guys, so I’ll worry about the Timbers leap-frogging them when I get a better view of their butts.
LAFC will continue to suck the life out of every game/succeed.
Let the free-for-all begin, fuck Ted Nugent, and may the Timbers get three points this weekend. Till the next one…
Wyatt Meyer is the #6 AND the first passer out of the back for NSH?
ReplyDelete1 - Start Kelsy and press the Bejeebus outa him: make him hit every pass under hard pressure...
2 - Give DaCosta the ball to attack him: drive on him, make him turn, meg him, let Kelsy pull off early and flip passes to his head or feet.
3 - Make Walker come all the way over to help out, then slide balls into the open space for Mora to poach...
In short, if he's the first touch outa the back, put him under pressure and make him beat you...
That's what it looked like in action and those all read like good adjustments to the scenario. My only concern is the quality of the Timbers press: you can send Kelsy in there, but if there's no one pushing up to support what he's doing, he'll have plenty of options for outlets - particularly with Tagseth running all over like he's late and just lost his damn keys.
DeleteThere are days I wonder whether the Timbers will ever achieve competence on even intermittent pressing...
Got a point there, Judge...
DeleteIt's funny - PTFC's press looked good to very good in pre-season - with Kelsy, Antony and Lassiter covering hard AND fast they got LOTS of turnovers. It looked like it was shaping into a nice weapon...
But since, it's back to 1 (Kelsy) attacking ferociously, while only another guy or 2 even bothers. Because DaCosta adds another set of sharp, sharp teeth to the press I'm hoping it shows up again real soon.
Excited enough about Da Costa to transfer a portion of the faith/hope I'd placed in Ortiz to him pending such time as the latter allows me to return the faith/hope back to him.
Deletere FUNNY: still laffin' after CCC Tuesday, Jeff - and now they get LAFC on short rest...
ReplyDelete