Showing posts with label Form Guide ULTRA. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Form Guide ULTRA. Show all posts

Tuesday, June 25, 2019

Form Guide ULTRA, MLS Week 16: A Message from the Department of Corrections

We regret to inform you, etc.
Let the record show that I skipped two beats this weekend; I won’t be writing about FC Cincinnati’s loss at home to the Los Angeles Galaxy or the Portland Timbers wholesome thrashing of the Houston Dynamo, also at home. This content is stale enough as is, when you miss a wave, you miss a wave, etc.

Moving on to the Major League Soccer week at hand – during which, it bears noting, both the teams I follow (e.g., Cincinnati and Portland) played – the results served up more confirmation than shake-up. For example (and details notwithstanding), the Galaxy beating Cincinnati in Cincinnati is just meeting expectations. The same goes for the Colorado Rapids' 2-2 draw against Vancouver at BC Place; good for the former, bad for the latter, but…well, raise your hand if you see either of those teams as viable contenders. In a somewhat indirect way, the same thing goes for the Chicago Fire’s 1-1 draw against RSL at home: nothing about that result changes the calculus in either conference, even if, at the same time, Chicago’s players should give Mo Adams a solid week’s worth of side eye for that deeply ill-advised hand-ball. So long as you view…more or less all of those teams as strictly undercard material (measure the Zlatan Effect however you see fit), their results hardly demand careful study.

All the same, this severely truncated weekend wasn’t a total waste. For instance, Portland’s full-frontal cleating of Houston, and the sad fallout of Columbus Crew SC’s home loss to Sporting Kansas City hints at the entrenchment of some potentially meaningful trends...going in different directions. Even if you factor in the fact the Timbers bullied a pair of B-teams on the road, the fact that they bullied them remains. Portland is showing vivid signs of life, basically, and with a (crucially) fresh mix of personnel to boot. It’s harder to read SKC’s win over Columbus as a sign of their revival, or as the continuing story of Columbus’ continuing illness. Meanwhile, FC Dallas’ utterly overwhelming demolition of Toronto FC falls into a different category all together – i.e., is a short-handed TFC team a big enough mess that they can be safely ignored, and what does that mean going forward?

Before I dig into the Info-Boxes that will fill in this post’s considerable tail, a visit from the in-house Department of Corrections moved me to revisit…a number of calls I made heading into the Gold Cup break (that barely was). I’ll start with the key for the bottom-most cell in the Info-Boxes, which I use to measure strength of schedule. When you see a “C” in the box under a team, that means I rate them as a contender. “M+” means “mid-table, but with some upside; “M-“ means mid-the wrong side of mid-table. Finally, “R” stands for road kill, as in these are the teams your team should beat, and that you absolutely should panic when they fail to do so. And that’s where the rub came in.