Best to use caution, yes? |
When she watches Jeopardy!, my wife has this tic of guessing the answer to Final Jeopardy! based solely on the category. If the category is “American Poets,” she’ll blurt out, say, “Edgar Allan Poe” before the question goes up (that’s her answer across several categories, actually). She’s gotten the answer right a few times (including Gandhi once, and without knowing he spent time in South Africa; the actual question threw her), but, in over 15 years of marriage, she’s swung wildly and to nowhere hundreds, even thousands, of times. It feels like wasted thought, but it makes her happy. And I think it’s cute. Now, anyway. Regardless, no harm, no foul, etc.
That’s pretty much how I feel about “hot takes,” aka, the wild leaps of fancy that inflate a valid detail into a sweeping, long-shot prediction. They’re almost always wrong, but that just means you get to call yourself a prophet and/or genius if you land one. Call them the whispy path to what passes for glory in spectator sports, the weird high of “being right” nests in fan culture like lice in a child’s scalp, and they are harmless. Just remember they don’t really tell you much.
Anyway, I have hot takes on the mind because ExtraTime Radio’s 2019 preview was a fucking buffet of them. “The Year of Zlatan”? Look, I’m not calling it impossible; I’m saying there’s nothing out there to support but Zlatan Ibrahimovic’s ego and, sure, some very real talent. I’ll just wait to see whether he pulls it off. Because that’s how I roll.
That’s pretty much how I feel about “hot takes,” aka, the wild leaps of fancy that inflate a valid detail into a sweeping, long-shot prediction. They’re almost always wrong, but that just means you get to call yourself a prophet and/or genius if you land one. Call them the whispy path to what passes for glory in spectator sports, the weird high of “being right” nests in fan culture like lice in a child’s scalp, and they are harmless. Just remember they don’t really tell you much.
Anyway, I have hot takes on the mind because ExtraTime Radio’s 2019 preview was a fucking buffet of them. “The Year of Zlatan”? Look, I’m not calling it impossible; I’m saying there’s nothing out there to support but Zlatan Ibrahimovic’s ego and, sure, some very real talent. I’ll just wait to see whether he pulls it off. Because that’s how I roll.
The rest of this post offers up vague impressions of all 24 MLS teams as they head into the 2019 season in that spirit. The teams are ranked according to four broad categories: 1) Contenders (aka, teams who look up for winning a trophy); 2) Proven (aka, known quantities, likely for the playoffs); 3) Things to Prove (i.e., affects rebuilds, typically, but also “problems”); and 4) The Legion of the Wrong Kind of Doom, or the teams for whom I see no path to the post-season, never mind glory.
Now, why am I doing this? I’ll be tracking results through the regular season, just like I did in 2018 (looks like this, but it'll be different this season). The notes below provide initial baselines for every team in MLS, and, until the benevolent universe gives us data, I’ll be weighing their results through these assumptions. I’ll flesh out the mechanics at the end, but, bottom line, tracking results is a game of expectations. It doesn’t give you much in the early weeks, but, as the information fills in, and teams start to produce stats and develop tendencies, it becomes a pretty robust indicator for current form right around the second half of the season. That’s the theory, anyway.